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21CEE · 2026 MIDTERM ELECTIONS

Daily Report

Reading the saved forecast…

01 / THE BALANCE OF POWER

Where it stands.

DemocraticRepublicanIndependentMixed delegation
Map key & sources

House: blue or red means more than 60% of a state’s seats. Senate: blue or red means both senators share that party; split delegations are mixed. Governors show the projected or continuing officeholder. Independent delegations are yellow. State outlines are not district boundaries.

Geography and forecast source credits ↗

Model projections · margins in percentage points.

THE MOVEMENT

What changed.

All 520 calls

Margin changes compare available numeric estimates.

02 / THE RACES TO WATCH

The 50 races.

Candidate photographs: source credits & licenses. Calls and signed margins retain the released decision rules.

03 / THE COMPLETE LEDGER

All 520 calls.

435 House · 35 Senate · 50 governorships
Senate totals include 65 seats not up this cycle.

04 / THE RECORD

Evidence, on the record.

Source status & retained data
Release identity & original report
Today’s three update drafts

This is a visual presentation of the saved forecast. The original timestamped report and forecast identity are preserved.