Analysis
The Senate map in our final projection
Our final projection has Democrats winning 20 of the 35 Senate races on the ballot, which would leave the chamber at 52 Democrats, 46 Republicans and 2 independents who caucus with Democrats.
Evidence as of
Our final projection has Democrats winning 20 of the 35 Senate races on the ballot, which would leave the chamber at 52 Democrats, 46 Republicans and 2 independents who caucus with Democrats. Sources: 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026
Races on the ballot: D 20, R 15; Senate total: D 52, R 46, I 2
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Races on the ballot | D 20, R 15 |
| Senate total | D 52, R 46, I 2 |
Seats not up this year are included in those totals but not shown on the map. Sources: 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026
These are projections, not counted votes. Sources: 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026
Sources & data
- 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026 · 21CEE · 21CEE ·
21CEE release
20261102T013933232184Z-6c60a152e3df· Snapshot SHA-2566c60a152e3dfcb78a22df534600a96463641303c38a1e3471324f1ca9582b2f9
Credits
Analysis: 21CEE editorial analysis (organization).
Corrections & updates
No corrections recorded.