Analysis
Key races when polls close at 10 p.m. Eastern and later
Nevada's polls close at 10 p.m. Eastern, California, Oregon and Washington at 11, and most of Alaska at midnight. Nevada's governor race is Democratic by 0.06 points and Alaska's Senate race by 0.90.
Evidence as of
Nevada's polls close at 10 p.m. Eastern, California, Oregon and Washington at 11, and most of Alaska at midnight. Nevada's governor race is Democratic by 0.06 points and Alaska's Senate race by 0.90. Sources: 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026
Nevada governor: D+0.06; 2 polls, latest Sept. 26; Oregon governor: Even; 2 polls, latest Oct. 1; WA-03 House: R+1.00; 1 poll, latest Sept. 27; CA-13 House: D+1.34; no public polls in our set; Alaska Senate: D+0.90; 6 polls, latest Oct. 29; Alaska governor: D+7.33; 6 polls, latest Oct. 25
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Nevada governor | D+0.06; 2 polls, latest Sept. 26 |
| Oregon governor | Even; 2 polls, latest Oct. 1 |
| WA-03 House | R+1.00; 1 poll, latest Sept. 27 |
| CA-13 House | D+1.34; no public polls in our set |
| Alaska Senate | D+0.90; 6 polls, latest Oct. 29 |
| Alaska governor | D+7.33; 6 polls, latest Oct. 25 |
Oregon's governor race is even in our projection. Sources: 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026
These are projections, not counted votes. Sources: 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026
Sources & data
- 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026 · 21CEE · 21CEE ·
21CEE release
20261102T013933232184Z-6c60a152e3df· Snapshot SHA-2566c60a152e3dfcb78a22df534600a96463641303c38a1e3471324f1ca9582b2f9
Credits
Analysis: 21CEE editorial analysis (organization).
Corrections & updates
No corrections recorded.