Analysis
Key races when polls close at 7 and 7:30 p.m. Eastern
Polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern in Georgia, South Carolina and most of Florida, and at 7:30 in North Carolina and Ohio. Georgia's governor race leans Republican by 1.15 points, while Ohio's Senate race tilts Democratic by 2.54.
Evidence as of
Polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern in Georgia, South Carolina and most of Florida, and at 7:30 in North Carolina and Ohio. Georgia's governor race leans Republican by 1.15 points, while Ohio's Senate race tilts Democratic by 2.54. Sources: 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026
Georgia governor: R+1.15; 4 polls, latest Oct. 17; Georgia Senate: D+8.00; 1 poll, latest Oct. 9; Ohio Senate: D+2.54; 11 polls, latest Oct. 30; Ohio governor: D+5.40; 10 polls, latest Oct. 30; North Carolina Senate: D+11.32; 9 polls, latest Oct. 29; FL-22 House: R+1.27; 1 poll; OH-07 House: D+1.34; no public polls in our set; South Carolina Senate: Projected GOP hold
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Georgia governor | R+1.15; 4 polls, latest Oct. 17 |
| Georgia Senate | D+8.00; 1 poll, latest Oct. 9 |
| Ohio Senate | D+2.54; 11 polls, latest Oct. 30 |
| Ohio governor | D+5.40; 10 polls, latest Oct. 30 |
| North Carolina Senate | D+11.32; 9 polls, latest Oct. 29 |
| FL-22 House | R+1.27; 1 poll |
| OH-07 House | D+1.34; no public polls in our set |
| South Carolina Senate | Projected GOP hold |
Georgia's Senate race rests on a single poll, and several House seats here have none, so treat those margins as rough. Sources: 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026
These are projections, not counted votes. Sources: 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026
Sources & data
- 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026 · 21CEE · 21CEE ·
21CEE release
20261102T013933232184Z-6c60a152e3df· Snapshot SHA-2566c60a152e3dfcb78a22df534600a96463641303c38a1e3471324f1ca9582b2f9
Credits
Analysis: 21CEE editorial analysis (organization).
Corrections & updates
No corrections recorded.