Analysis
Governors: our final map
Our final projection has Democrats holding 27 governorships and Republicans 23. The closest races are in Nevada, Oregon, Georgia and Kansas.
Evidence as of
Our final projection has Democrats holding 27 governorships and Republicans 23. The closest races are in Nevada, Oregon, Georgia and Kansas. Sources: 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026
Oregon governor: Even; 2 polls, latest Oct. 1; Nevada governor: D+0.06; 2 polls, latest Sept. 26; Georgia governor: R+1.15; 4 polls, latest Oct. 17; Kansas governor: R+3.42; 8 polls, latest Oct. 29; Wisconsin governor: D+4.33; 3 polls, latest Oct. 23; Ohio governor: D+5.40; 10 polls, latest Oct. 30; Alaska governor: D+7.33; 6 polls, latest Oct. 25; Iowa governor: D+8.30; 9 polls, latest Oct. 29; Michigan governor: D+8.66; 12 polls, latest Oct. 29; Arizona governor: D+12.00; 3 polls, latest Oct. 28
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Oregon governor | Even; 2 polls, latest Oct. 1 |
| Nevada governor | D+0.06; 2 polls, latest Sept. 26 |
| Georgia governor | R+1.15; 4 polls, latest Oct. 17 |
| Kansas governor | R+3.42; 8 polls, latest Oct. 29 |
| Wisconsin governor | D+4.33; 3 polls, latest Oct. 23 |
| Ohio governor | D+5.40; 10 polls, latest Oct. 30 |
| Alaska governor | D+7.33; 6 polls, latest Oct. 25 |
| Iowa governor | D+8.30; 9 polls, latest Oct. 29 |
| Michigan governor | D+8.66; 12 polls, latest Oct. 29 |
| Arizona governor | D+12.00; 3 polls, latest Oct. 28 |
Nevada is Democratic by 0.06 points, Oregon is even, Georgia leans Republican by 1.15 and Kansas by 3.42. Sources: 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026
These are projections, not counted votes. Sources: 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026
Sources & data
- 21CEE corrected final forecast, November 1, 2026 · 21CEE · 21CEE ·
21CEE release
20261102T013933232184Z-6c60a152e3df· Snapshot SHA-2566c60a152e3dfcb78a22df534600a96463641303c38a1e3471324f1ca9582b2f9
Credits
Analysis: 21CEE editorial analysis (organization).
Corrections & updates
No corrections recorded.