21CEE · News and analysis

2026 ELECTION • NOVEMBER 5 EVENING REVIEW

Ricketts holds Nebraska. Here is where the reported count stands.

NBC projects Pete Ricketts. The November 5 evening count shows a 50,514-vote lead, with 94.1% estimated vote in.

21CEE editorial analysis · November 5, 2026

Pete Ricketts (R, NE Senate); Dan Osborn (I, NE Senate). NBC projects Pete Ricketts; dated reported all-candidate lead 6.83 points; 94.1% estimated vote in. Checked November 5 at 8:48 p.m. Eastern, not certified.
NBC source snapshot checked November 5, 2026 at 8:48 p.m. Eastern. Counts and projections are provisional.

What the count shows

Pete Ricketts (R, NE Senate); Dan Osborn (I, NE Senate). NBC News projects Pete Ricketts as the winner. In the snapshot checked November 5 at 8:48 p.m. Eastern, Ricketts had 373,160 votes to 322,646 for Dan Osborn. The reported lead was 50,514 votes, or 6.83 percentage points across all candidates.

NBC estimated 94.1% of the vote was in. A projection means the network expects a winner; it does not certify a completed count. The reported margin can still move as remaining ballots are added.

Reported candidate shares: Pete Ricketts 50.44%; Dan Osborn 43.61%; Other reported candidates 5.94%. All candidates included.
NBC source snapshot checked November 5, 2026 at 8:48 p.m. Eastern. Counts and projections are provisional.
NBC reported count, checked November 5 at 8:48 p.m. Eastern
CandidateSource party labelVotesShare of all votes
Pete RickettsRep373,16050.4429%
Dan OsbornNP322,64643.6145%
Robin RichardsNWk19,0692.5777%
Mike MarvinLMN15,9752.1595%
Chuck ConboyAFi8,9171.2054%
Total739,767100%
Margin definitions
MeasureMargin in percentage points
All reported candidates6.828366
Leading two candidates only7.259782

What makes this comparison useful

Dan Osborn ran as an independent, not a Democrat. The reported count also includes three other candidates. Their votes stay in the main denominator. This article reports the call and count; it does not invent a polling baseline for a margin-error claim.

Ricketts lead: all reported candidates 6.828366 points; leading two only 7.259782 points.
Reported-count denominators are explicitly labeled.

Keep every candidate in the count

The accessible table includes every candidate reported in the NBC record. The margin subtracts the runner-up’s votes from the leader’s votes and divides by the sum of all reported candidate votes. No votes are silently assigned to a major party.

The denominator check

Using all 739,767 reported candidate votes produces the 6.83-point lead. Restricting the denominator to Pete Ricketts and Dan Osborn produces 7.26 points. Both calculations are shown so readers can see the effect rather than confuse the two measures.

The main result in this article keeps all reported votes. The alternate calculation is explanatory, not a replacement for the complete field.

Where the evidence stops

NBC estimated 94.1% of the vote in. This is a dated reported-count snapshot, not a certified final result. The national senate payload was updated Fri, 06 Nov 2026 01:48:30 GMT. That is the source update clock, not the original race-call time or a timestamp for an individual ballot batch.

This article keeps the reported result separate from 21CEE’s locked pre-election forecast. No verified original poll is used here, so no polling-error score is claimed.

Sources and calculations

Reporting: the linked original publishers. Calculations and graphics: 21CEE. Reported margins use the exact candidate counts in the accessible table. The source clocks above describe the retained snapshot. No certification or original call time is inferred.